⚽ Loli predicts the 2026 World Cup

Predicciones autónomas de IA · todos los partidos del Mundial · Quiniela Progol

Ticket generated 2026-06-18 16:49 UTC (1.6h ago) · Challenges: Fullweek 2338 / Midweek 800 · data.json

30/30

picks from live engine

4/18

record since launch (Jun 2026)

72/104

WC games predicted

~Jun 17

first concursos self-grade

💰 Real money on the table

Loli doesn't just predict — her betting brain risks actual money on the World Cup, but ONLY where it finds a mispricing it has earned the right to trust. These are the bets that actually filled (orders that expired before filling are not counted). Every position, win or lose:

Ayase Ueda: 1+ goals → YES LOST −$1.12 · $1.12 stake · model 57% · 2026-06-14
Spain to win the second half? → YES pending result… · $1.12 stake · model 63% · 2026-06-11

67 WC markets evaluated · only 2 actually filled. Record so far: 0W–1L, 1 pending. The skips are the strategy — it never bets a market it can't beat.

🌍 Every World Cup game

Track record (every pick graded automatically from official results): Loli's published pick: 10/25 (40%) · sharp market: 8/13 (62%) · raw Elo model: 10/25 (40%). Her published pick blends her model with the market — the market carries the weight on chaotic group games. ☠️ = a dangerous contrarian call where her model defies the sharp market (high-risk — the market is usually right). 💰 = Fantasy put real money on a market we can confirm belongs to that game. Player-prop bets (which name a player, not a team) cannot be pinned to a row — they are listed by name in the real-money section above. Every bet is shown, win or lose.

72 of 104 fixtures predicted (knockout slots fill in as teams qualify). Each pick is a market-weighted blend of Loli's national-team Elo and the live Polymarket price; close calls show DRAW.

Thursday, June 11

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
South Africa Elo 1511 · #80@Mexico Elo 1881 · #18	🏠 Mexico 80%	—	2–0 ✓

Friday, June 12

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Czechia Elo 1712 · #42@South Korea Elo 1786 · #26	🤝 DRAW tight call	—	2–1 ✗
Bosnia-Herzegovina Elo 1595 · #65@Canada Elo 1788 · #25	🏠 Canada 73%	—	1–1 ✗

Saturday, June 13

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Paraguay Elo 1834 · #22@United States Elo 1726 · #38	🛫 Paraguay 64%	—	4–1 ✗
Switzerland Elo 1891 · #17@Qatar Elo 1421 · #96	🛫 Switzerland 80%	—	1–1 ✗
Morocco Elo 1827 · #24@Brazil Elo 1991 · #5	🏠 Brazil 70%	—	1–1 ✗

Sunday, June 14

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Scotland Elo 1782 · #27@Haiti Elo 1548 · #73	🛫 Scotland 76%	—	0–1 ✓
Türkiye Elo 1911 · #13@Australia Elo 1777 · #29	🛫 Türkiye 66%	—	2–0 ✗
Curaçao Elo 1434 · #91@Germany Elo 1932 · #10	🏠 Germany 80%	—	7–1 ✓
Japan Elo 1906 · #14@Netherlands Elo 1948 · #8	🤝 DRAW tight call	—	2–2 ✓
Ecuador Elo 1938 · #9@Ivory Coast Elo 1695 · #49	🛫 Ecuador 77%	—	1–0 ✗

Monday, June 15

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Tunisia Elo 1628 · #58@Sweden Elo 1712 · #43	🤝 DRAW tight call	—	5–1 ✗
Cape Verde Elo 1578 · #68@Spain Elo 2157 · #1	🏠 Spain 80%	—	0–0 ✗
Egypt Elo 1696 · #48@Belgium Elo 1894 · #15	🏠 Belgium 73%	—	1–1 ✗
Uruguay Elo 1892 · #16@Saudi Arabia Elo 1576 · #69	🛫 Uruguay 80%	—	1–1 ✗

Tuesday, June 16

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
New Zealand Elo 1562 · #72@Iran Elo 1772 · #31	🏠 Iran 74%	—	2–2 ✗
Senegal Elo 1860 · #21@France Elo 2063 · #3	🏠 France 74%	—	3–1 ✓
Norway Elo 1914 · #11@Iraq Elo 1607 · #63	🛫 Norway 80%	—	1–4 ✓

Wednesday, June 17

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Algeria Elo 1772 · #30@Argentina Elo 2115 · #2	🏠 Argentina 80%	—	3–0 ✓
Jordan Elo 1680 · #52@Austria Elo 1830 · #23	🏠 Austria 68%	—	3–1 ✓
Congo DR Elo 1652 · #55@Portugal Elo 1989 · #6	🏠 Portugal 80%	—	1–1 ✗
Croatia Elo 1912 · #12@England Elo 2024 · #4	🏠 England 64%	—	4–2 ✓
Panama Elo 1730 · #37@Ghana Elo 1510 · #81	🛫 Panama 75%	—	1–0 ✗

Thursday, June 18

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Colombia Elo 1982 · #7@Uzbekistan Elo 1714 · #41	🛫 Colombia 79%	—	1–3 ✓
South Africa Elo 1511 · #80@Czechia Elo 1712 · #42	🏠 Czechia 74%	—	1–1 ✗
Bosnia-Herzegovina Elo 1595 · #65@Switzerland Elo 1891 · #17	🏠 Switzerland 61%	Switzerland 62%	19:00 UTC
Qatar Elo 1421 · #96@Canada Elo 1788 · #25	🏠 Canada 69%	Canada 74%	22:00 UTC

Friday, June 19

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
South Korea Elo 1786 · #26@Mexico Elo 1881 · #18	🏠 Mexico 46%	Mexico 46%	01:00 UTC
Australia Elo 1777 · #29@United States Elo 1726 · #38	🏠 United States 51%	United States 61%	19:00 UTC
Morocco Elo 1827 · #24@Scotland Elo 1782 · #27	🛫 Morocco 51%	Morocco 56%	22:00 UTC

Saturday, June 20

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Haiti Elo 1548 · #73@Brazil Elo 1991 · #5	🏠 Brazil 78%	Brazil 88%	00:30 UTC
Paraguay Elo 1834 · #22@Türkiye Elo 1911 · #13	🏠 Türkiye 46%	Türkiye 47%	03:00 UTC
Sweden Elo 1712 · #43@Netherlands Elo 1948 · #8	🏠 Netherlands 56%	Netherlands 56%	17:00 UTC
Ivory Coast Elo 1695 · #49@Germany Elo 1932 · #10	🏠 Germany 61%	Germany 63%	20:00 UTC

Sunday, June 21

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Curaçao Elo 1434 · #91@Ecuador Elo 1938 · #9	🏠 Ecuador 78%	Ecuador 88%	00:00 UTC
Japan Elo 1906 · #14@Tunisia Elo 1628 · #58	🛫 Japan 62%	Japan 63%	04:00 UTC
Saudi Arabia Elo 1576 · #69@Spain Elo 2157 · #1	🏠 Spain 78%	Spain 88%	16:00 UTC
Iran Elo 1772 · #31@Belgium Elo 1894 · #15	🏠 Belgium 67%	Belgium 77%	19:00 UTC
Cape Verde Elo 1578 · #68@Uruguay Elo 1892 · #16	🏠 Uruguay 64%	Uruguay 66%	22:00 UTC

Monday, June 22

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Egypt Elo 1696 · #48@New Zealand Elo 1562 · #72	🛫 Egypt 56%	Egypt 60%	01:00 UTC
Austria Elo 1830 · #23@Argentina Elo 2115 · #2	🏠 Argentina 60%	Argentina 61%	17:00 UTC
Iraq Elo 1607 · #63@France Elo 2063 · #3	🏠 France 79%	France 89%	21:00 UTC

Tuesday, June 23

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Senegal Elo 1860 · #21@Norway Elo 1914 · #11	🏠 Norway 42%	Norway 41%	00:00 UTC
Algeria Elo 1772 · #30@Jordan Elo 1680 · #52	🛫 Algeria 56%	Algeria 61%	03:00 UTC
Uzbekistan Elo 1714 · #41@Portugal Elo 1989 · #6	🏠 Portugal 73%	Portugal 81%	17:00 UTC
Ghana Elo 1510 · #81@England Elo 2024 · #4	🏠 England 72%	England 79%	20:00 UTC
Croatia Elo 1912 · #12@Panama Elo 1730 · #37	🛫 Croatia 60%	Croatia 63%	23:00 UTC

Wednesday, June 24

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Congo DR Elo 1652 · #55@Colombia Elo 1982 · #7	🏠 Colombia 63%	Colombia 65%	02:00 UTC
Qatar Elo 1421 · #96@Bosnia-Herzegovina Elo 1595 · #65	🏠 Bosnia-Herzegovina 58%	Bosnia-Herzegovina 61%	19:00 UTC
Canada Elo 1788 · #25@Switzerland Elo 1891 · #17	🏠 Switzerland 45%	Switzerland 45%	19:00 UTC
Haiti Elo 1548 · #73@Morocco Elo 1827 · #24	🏠 Morocco 70%	Morocco 75%	22:00 UTC
Brazil Elo 1991 · #5@Scotland Elo 1782 · #27	🛫 Brazil 64%	Brazil 68%	22:00 UTC

Thursday, June 25

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Mexico Elo 1881 · #18@Czechia Elo 1712 · #42	🛫 Mexico 53%	Mexico 54%	01:00 UTC
South Korea Elo 1786 · #26@South Africa Elo 1511 · #80	🛫 South Korea 60%	South Korea 60%	01:00 UTC
Ivory Coast Elo 1695 · #49@Curaçao Elo 1434 · #91	🛫 Ivory Coast 75%	Ivory Coast 84%	20:00 UTC
Germany Elo 1932 · #10@Ecuador Elo 1938 · #9	🛫 Germany 50%	Germany 57%	20:00 UTC
Sweden Elo 1712 · #43@Japan Elo 1906 · #14	🏠 Japan 48%	Japan 45%	23:00 UTC
Netherlands Elo 1948 · #8@Tunisia Elo 1628 · #58	🛫 Netherlands 69%	Netherlands 75%	23:00 UTC

Friday, June 26

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Australia Elo 1777 · #29@Paraguay Elo 1834 · #22	🏠 Paraguay 44%	Paraguay 44%	02:00 UTC
United States Elo 1726 · #38@Türkiye Elo 1911 · #13	🏠 Türkiye 40% ☠️	United States 42%	02:00 UTC
France Elo 2063 · #3@Norway Elo 1914 · #11	🛫 France 53%	France 54%	19:00 UTC
Iraq Elo 1607 · #63@Senegal Elo 1860 · #21	🏠 Senegal 67%	Senegal 72%	19:00 UTC

Saturday, June 27

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Saudi Arabia Elo 1576 · #69@Cape Verde Elo 1578 · #68	🛫 Saudi Arabia 39%	Saudi Arabia 40%	00:00 UTC
Spain Elo 2157 · #1@Uruguay Elo 1892 · #16	🛫 Spain 61%	Spain 63%	00:00 UTC
Iran Elo 1772 · #31@Egypt Elo 1696 · #48	🏠 Egypt 50%	Egypt 61%	03:00 UTC
Belgium Elo 1894 · #15@New Zealand Elo 1562 · #72	🛫 Belgium 72%	Belgium 78%	03:00 UTC
Ghana Elo 1510 · #81@Croatia Elo 1912 · #12	🏠 Croatia 60%	Croatia 60%	21:00 UTC
England Elo 2024 · #4@Panama Elo 1730 · #37	🛫 England 71%	England 77%	21:00 UTC
Portugal Elo 1989 · #6@Colombia Elo 1982 · #7	🛫 Portugal 43%	Portugal 46%	23:30 UTC
Uzbekistan Elo 1714 · #41@Congo DR Elo 1652 · #55	🏠 Congo DR 41%	Congo DR 46%	23:30 UTC

Sunday, June 28

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Austria Elo 1830 · #23@Algeria Elo 1772 · #30	🛫 Austria 39%	Austria 37%	02:00 UTC
Argentina Elo 2115 · #2@Jordan Elo 1680 · #52	🛫 Argentina 74%	Argentina 81%	02:00 UTC
Group B 2nd Place@Group A 2nd Place	awaiting teams	—	19:00 UTC

Monday, June 29

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Group F 2nd Place@Group C Winner	awaiting teams	—	17:00 UTC
Third Place Group A/B/C/D/F@Group E Winner	awaiting teams	—	20:30 UTC

Tuesday, June 30

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Group C 2nd Place@Group F Winner	awaiting teams	—	01:00 UTC
Group I 2nd Place@Group E 2nd Place	awaiting teams	—	17:00 UTC
Third Place Group C/D/F/G/H@Group I Winner	awaiting teams	—	21:00 UTC

Wednesday, July 01

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Third Place Group C/E/F/H/I@Group A Winner	awaiting teams	—	01:00 UTC
Third Place Group E/H/I/J/K@Group L Winner	awaiting teams	—	16:00 UTC
Third Place Group A/E/H/I/J@Group G Winner	awaiting teams	—	20:00 UTC

Thursday, July 02

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Third Place Group B/E/F/I/J@Group D Winner	awaiting teams	—	00:00 UTC
Group J 2nd Place@Group H Winner	awaiting teams	—	19:00 UTC
Group L 2nd Place@Group K 2nd Place	awaiting teams	—	23:00 UTC

Friday, July 03

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Third Place Group E/F/G/I/J@Group B Winner	awaiting teams	—	03:00 UTC
Group G 2nd Place@Group D 2nd Place	awaiting teams	—	18:00 UTC
Group H 2nd Place@Group J Winner	awaiting teams	—	22:00 UTC

Saturday, July 04

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Third Place Group D/E/I/J/L@Group K Winner	awaiting teams	—	01:30 UTC
Round of 32 3 Winner@Round of 32 1 Winner	awaiting teams	—	17:00 UTC
Round of 32 5 Winner@Round of 32 2 Winner	awaiting teams	—	21:00 UTC

Sunday, July 05

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Round of 32 6 Winner@Round of 32 4 Winner	awaiting teams	—	20:00 UTC

Monday, July 06

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Round of 32 8 Winner@Round of 32 7 Winner	awaiting teams	—	00:00 UTC
Round of 32 12 Winner@Round of 32 11 Winner	awaiting teams	—	19:00 UTC

Tuesday, July 07

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Round of 32 10 Winner@Round of 32 9 Winner	awaiting teams	—	00:00 UTC
Round of 32 16 Winner@Round of 32 14 Winner	awaiting teams	—	16:00 UTC
Round of 32 15 Winner@Round of 32 13 Winner	awaiting teams	—	20:00 UTC

Thursday, July 09

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Round of 16 2 Winner@Round of 16 1 Winner	awaiting teams	—	20:00 UTC

Friday, July 10

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Round of 16 6 Winner@Round of 16 5 Winner	awaiting teams	—	19:00 UTC

Saturday, July 11

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Round of 16 4 Winner@Round of 16 3 Winner	awaiting teams	—	21:00 UTC

Sunday, July 12

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Round of 16 8 Winner@Round of 16 7 Winner	awaiting teams	—	01:00 UTC

Tuesday, July 14

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Quarterfinal 2 Winner@Quarterfinal 1 Winner	awaiting teams	—	19:00 UTC

Wednesday, July 15

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Quarterfinal 4 Winner@Quarterfinal 3 Winner	awaiting teams	—	19:00 UTC

Saturday, July 18

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Semifinal 2 Loser@Semifinal 1 Loser	awaiting teams	—	21:00 UTC

Sunday, July 19

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Semifinal 2 Winner@Semifinal 1 Winner	awaiting teams	—	19:00 UTC

🎟️ Progol quiniela ticket

Loli plays Mexico's Progol pool — her official ticket picks for this week's concursos, in the same layout as the World Cup slate. (One of her offerings; the World Cup tab covers every tournament game.)

Midweek 800 · World Cup week

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
REP. COREA Elo 1786 · #26 @ MEXICO Elo 1881 · #18	🤝 DRAW 40%	Mexico 46%	01:00 UTC
SENEGAL Elo 1860 · #21 @ FRANCIA Elo 2063 · #3	🏠 FRANCIA 52%	—	3–1 ✓
CROACIA Elo 1912 · #12 @ INGLATERRA Elo 2024 · #4	🏠 INGLATERRA 60%	—	4–2 ✓
PANAMA Elo 1730 · #37 @ GHANA Elo 1510 · #81	🛫 PANAMA 73%	—	1–0 ✗
SUDAFRICA Elo 1511 · #80 @ CHEQUIA Elo 1712 · #42	🏠 CHEQUIA 78%	—	1–1 ✗
BOSNIA Elo 1595 · #65 @ SUIZA Elo 1891 · #17	🏠 SUIZA 78%	Switzerland 62%	19:00 UTC
AUSTRALIA Elo 1777 · #29 @ E.U.A. Elo 1726 · #38	🤝 DRAW 38%	United States 61%	19:00 UTC
MARRUECOS Elo 1827 · #24 @ ESCOCIA Elo 1782 · #27	🤝 DRAW 38%	Morocco 56%	22:00 UTC
PARAGUAY Elo 1834 · #22 @ TURQUIA Elo 1911 · #13	🤝 DRAW 34%	Türkiye 47%	03:00 UTC

Fullweek 2338 · Main

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
MEXICO Elo 1881 · #18 @ CHEQUIA Elo 1712 · #42	🛫 MEXICO 71%	Mexico 54%	01:00 UTC
CANADA Elo 1788 · #25 @ SUIZA Elo 1891 · #17	🏠 SUIZA 61%	Switzerland 45%	19:00 UTC
CATAR Elo 1421 · #96 @ BOSNIA Elo 1595 · #65	🏠 BOSNIA 75%	Bosnia-Herzegovina 61%	19:00 UTC
SUECIA Elo 1712 · #43 @ JAPON Elo 1906 · #14	🏠 JAPON 52%	Japan 45%	23:00 UTC
E.U.A. Elo 1726 · #38 @ TURQUIA Elo 1911 · #13	🏠 TURQUIA 52%	United States 42%	02:00 UTC
AUSTRALIA Elo 1777 · #29 @ PARAGUAY Elo 1834 · #22	🤝 DRAW 40%	Paraguay 44%	02:00 UTC
FRANCIA Elo 2063 · #3 @ NORUEGA Elo 1914 · #11	🛫 FRANCIA 52%	France 54%	19:00 UTC
A. SAUDITA Elo 1576 · #69 @ CABO VERDE Elo 1578 · #68	🤝 DRAW 40%	Saudi Arabia 40%	00:00 UTC
ESPAÑA Elo 2157 · #1 @ URUGUAY Elo 1892 · #16	🛫 ESPAÑA 71%	Spain 63%	00:00 UTC
IRAN Elo 1772 · #31 @ EGIPTO Elo 1696 · #48	🤝 DRAW 40%	Egypt 61%	03:00 UTC
GHANA Elo 1510 · #81 @ CROACIA Elo 1912 · #12	🏠 CROACIA 77%	Croatia 60%	21:00 UTC
PORTUGAL Elo 1989 · #6 @ COLOMBIA Elo 1982 · #7	🤝 DRAW 40%	Portugal 46%	23:30 UTC
UZBEKISTAN Elo 1714 · #41 @ REP. CONGO Elo 1652 · #55	🛫 UZBEKISTAN 78%	Congo DR 46%	23:30 UTC
AUSTRIA Elo 1830 · #23 @ ARGELIA Elo 1772 · #30	🤝 DRAW 40%	Austria 37%	02:00 UTC

Fullweek 2338 · Revancha

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
MEXICO Elo 1881 · #18 @ CHEQUIA Elo 1712 · #42	🛫 MEXICO 66%	Mexico 54%	01:00 UTC
BRASIL Elo 1991 · #5 @ ESCOCIA Elo 1782 · #27	🛫 BRASIL 69%	Brazil 68%	22:00 UTC
REP. COREA Elo 1786 · #26 @ SUDAFRICA Elo 1511 · #80	🛫 REP. COREA 80%	South Korea 60%	01:00 UTC
ALEMANIA Elo 1932 · #10 @ ECUADOR Elo 1938 · #9	🤝 DRAW 41%	Germany 57%	20:00 UTC
E.U.A. Elo 1726 · #38 @ TURQUIA Elo 1911 · #13	🏠 TURQUIA 68%	United States 42%	02:00 UTC
A. SAUDITA Elo 1576 · #69 @ CABO VERDE Elo 1578 · #68	🤝 DRAW 42%	Saudi Arabia 40%	00:00 UTC
ESPAÑA Elo 2157 · #1 @ URUGUAY Elo 1892 · #16	🛫 ESPAÑA 73%	Spain 63%	00:00 UTC

📊 The honest record

Since launch (June 2026): 4/18 correct (22.2%).

All-time record (we publish everything, including this)

30.6% on 977 graded 3-way picks across 49 tickets since April 2026 — random baseline on 1/X/2 is ≈33.3%. The engine behind today's picks (national-team Elo anchor) shipped June 5, 2026; the lifetime number includes every earlier, weaker era. That's exactly why the "since launch" series above is the one to watch — it grades itself nightly, automatically, from official results.