⚽ Loli predicts the 2026 World Cup

Predicciones autónomas de IA · todos los partidos del Mundial · Quiniela Progol

Ticket generated 2026-06-12 21:23 UTC (0.1h ago) · Challenges: Fullweek 2337 / Midweek 800 · data.json

30/30

picks from live engine

…

record since launch (Jun 2026)

72/104

WC games predicted

~Jun 17

first concursos self-grade

🌍 Every World Cup game

72 of 104 fixtures predicted with the engine's national-team Elo (knockout slots fill in as teams qualify) · graded so far: 1/3 correct. When the Elo gap is inside the draw band the call is DRAW and shows "tight call" instead of a fake percentage. Loli's model agrees with the sharp betting market on 52 of 68 priced games — the ⚠️ flags mark where her Elo and the market diverge. Her Elo knows historical results only; the market knows injuries, form and lineups, so on a disagreement the market is usually right — and those are exactly the calls we track to see if she can beat it.

Thursday, June 11

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
South Africa Elo 1511 · #80@Mexico Elo 1881 · #18	🏠 Mexico 80%	—	2–0 ✓

Friday, June 12

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Czechia Elo 1712 · #42@South Korea Elo 1786 · #26	🤝 DRAW tight call	—	2–1 ✗
Bosnia-Herzegovina Elo 1595 · #65@Canada Elo 1788 · #25	🏠 Canada 73%	—	1–1 ✗

Saturday, June 13

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Paraguay Elo 1834 · #22@United States Elo 1726 · #38	🛫 Paraguay 64%	United States 46% ⚠️	01:00 UTC
Switzerland Elo 1891 · #17@Qatar Elo 1421 · #96	🛫 Switzerland 80%	Switzerland 81%	19:00 UTC
Morocco Elo 1827 · #24@Brazil Elo 1991 · #5	🏠 Brazil 70%	Brazil 58%	22:00 UTC

Sunday, June 14

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Scotland Elo 1782 · #27@Haiti Elo 1548 · #73	🛫 Scotland 76%	Scotland 61%	01:00 UTC
Türkiye Elo 1911 · #13@Australia Elo 1777 · #29	🛫 Türkiye 66%	Türkiye 56%	04:00 UTC
Curaçao Elo 1434 · #91@Germany Elo 1932 · #10	🏠 Germany 80%	—	17:00 UTC
Japan Elo 1906 · #14@Netherlands Elo 1948 · #8	🤝 DRAW tight call	Netherlands 48% ⚠️	20:00 UTC
Ecuador Elo 1938 · #9@Ivory Coast Elo 1695 · #49	🛫 Ecuador 77%	Ecuador 40%	23:00 UTC

Monday, June 15

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Tunisia Elo 1628 · #58@Sweden Elo 1712 · #43	🤝 DRAW tight call	Sweden 51% ⚠️	02:00 UTC
Cape Verde Elo 1578 · #68@Spain Elo 2157 · #1	🏠 Spain 80%	Spain 90%	16:00 UTC
Egypt Elo 1696 · #48@Belgium Elo 1894 · #15	🏠 Belgium 73%	Belgium 60%	19:00 UTC
Uruguay Elo 1892 · #16@Saudi Arabia Elo 1576 · #69	🛫 Uruguay 80%	Uruguay 67%	22:00 UTC

Tuesday, June 16

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
New Zealand Elo 1562 · #72@Iran Elo 1772 · #31	🏠 Iran 74%	Draw 58% ⚠️	01:00 UTC
Senegal Elo 1860 · #21@France Elo 2063 · #3	🏠 France 74%	France 66%	19:00 UTC
Norway Elo 1914 · #11@Iraq Elo 1607 · #63	🛫 Norway 80%	Norway 81%	22:00 UTC

Wednesday, June 17

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Algeria Elo 1772 · #30@Argentina Elo 2115 · #2	🏠 Argentina 80%	Argentina 70%	01:00 UTC
Jordan Elo 1680 · #52@Austria Elo 1830 · #23	🏠 Austria 68%	Austria 73%	04:00 UTC
Congo DR Elo 1652 · #55@Portugal Elo 1989 · #6	🏠 Portugal 80%	Portugal 76%	17:00 UTC
Croatia Elo 1912 · #12@England Elo 2024 · #4	🏠 England 64%	England 56%	20:00 UTC
Panama Elo 1730 · #37@Ghana Elo 1510 · #81	🛫 Panama 75%	Ghana 44% ⚠️	23:00 UTC

Thursday, June 18

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Colombia Elo 1982 · #7@Uzbekistan Elo 1714 · #41	🛫 Colombia 79%	Colombia 70%	02:00 UTC
South Africa Elo 1511 · #80@Czechia Elo 1712 · #42	🏠 Czechia 74%	Czechia 55%	16:00 UTC
Bosnia-Herzegovina Elo 1595 · #65@Switzerland Elo 1891 · #17	🏠 Switzerland 80%	Switzerland 61%	19:00 UTC
Qatar Elo 1421 · #96@Canada Elo 1788 · #25	🏠 Canada 80%	Canada 75%	22:00 UTC

Friday, June 19

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
South Korea Elo 1786 · #26@Mexico Elo 1881 · #18	🏠 Mexico 62%	Mexico 48%	01:00 UTC
Australia Elo 1777 · #29@United States Elo 1726 · #38	🤝 DRAW tight call	United States 56% ⚠️	19:00 UTC
Morocco Elo 1827 · #24@Scotland Elo 1782 · #27	🤝 DRAW tight call	Morocco 49% ⚠️	22:00 UTC

Saturday, June 20

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Haiti Elo 1548 · #73@Brazil Elo 1991 · #5	🏠 Brazil 80%	Brazil 90%	00:30 UTC
Paraguay Elo 1834 · #22@Türkiye Elo 1911 · #13	🤝 DRAW tight call	Türkiye 43% ⚠️	03:00 UTC
Sweden Elo 1712 · #43@Netherlands Elo 1948 · #8	🏠 Netherlands 77%	Netherlands 59%	17:00 UTC
Ivory Coast Elo 1695 · #49@Germany Elo 1932 · #10	🏠 Germany 77%	Germany 63%	20:00 UTC

Sunday, June 21

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Curaçao Elo 1434 · #91@Ecuador Elo 1938 · #9	🏠 Ecuador 80%	Ecuador 81%	00:00 UTC
Japan Elo 1906 · #14@Tunisia Elo 1628 · #58	🛫 Japan 80%	Japan 58%	04:00 UTC
Saudi Arabia Elo 1576 · #69@Spain Elo 2157 · #1	🏠 Spain 80%	Spain 89%	16:00 UTC
Iran Elo 1772 · #31@Belgium Elo 1894 · #15	🏠 Belgium 65%	Belgium 78%	19:00 UTC
Cape Verde Elo 1578 · #68@Uruguay Elo 1892 · #16	🏠 Uruguay 80%	Uruguay 68%	22:00 UTC

Monday, June 22

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Egypt Elo 1696 · #48@New Zealand Elo 1562 · #72	🛫 Egypt 66%	Egypt 54%	01:00 UTC
Austria Elo 1830 · #23@Argentina Elo 2115 · #2	🏠 Argentina 80%	Argentina 61%	17:00 UTC
Iraq Elo 1607 · #63@France Elo 2063 · #3	🏠 France 80%	France 87%	21:00 UTC

Tuesday, June 23

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Senegal Elo 1860 · #21@Norway Elo 1914 · #11	🤝 DRAW tight call	Norway 44% ⚠️	00:00 UTC
Algeria Elo 1772 · #30@Jordan Elo 1680 · #52	🛫 Algeria 62%	Algeria 65%	03:00 UTC
Uzbekistan Elo 1714 · #41@Portugal Elo 1989 · #6	🏠 Portugal 80%	Portugal 78%	17:00 UTC
Ghana Elo 1510 · #81@England Elo 2024 · #4	🏠 England 80%	England 73%	20:00 UTC
Croatia Elo 1912 · #12@Panama Elo 1730 · #37	🛫 Croatia 72%	Croatia 63%	23:00 UTC

Wednesday, June 24

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Congo DR Elo 1652 · #55@Colombia Elo 1982 · #7	🏠 Colombia 80%	Colombia 66%	02:00 UTC
Qatar Elo 1421 · #96@Bosnia-Herzegovina Elo 1595 · #65	🏠 Bosnia-Herzegovina 71%	Bosnia-Herzegovina 58%	19:00 UTC
Canada Elo 1788 · #25@Switzerland Elo 1891 · #17	🏠 Switzerland 63%	Switzerland 45%	19:00 UTC
Haiti Elo 1548 · #73@Morocco Elo 1827 · #24	🏠 Morocco 80%	Morocco 72%	22:00 UTC
Brazil Elo 1991 · #5@Scotland Elo 1782 · #27	🛫 Brazil 74%	Brazil 66%	22:00 UTC

Thursday, June 25

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Mexico Elo 1881 · #18@Czechia Elo 1712 · #42	🛫 Mexico 70%	Mexico 54%	01:00 UTC
South Korea Elo 1786 · #26@South Africa Elo 1511 · #80	🛫 South Korea 80%	South Korea 62%	01:00 UTC
Ivory Coast Elo 1695 · #49@Curaçao Elo 1434 · #91	🛫 Ivory Coast 79%	Ivory Coast 78%	20:00 UTC
Germany Elo 1932 · #10@Ecuador Elo 1938 · #9	🤝 DRAW tight call	Germany 55% ⚠️	20:00 UTC
Sweden Elo 1712 · #43@Japan Elo 1906 · #14	🏠 Japan 73%	Japan 47%	23:00 UTC
Netherlands Elo 1948 · #8@Tunisia Elo 1628 · #58	🛫 Netherlands 80%	Netherlands 66%	23:00 UTC

Friday, June 26

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Australia Elo 1777 · #29@Paraguay Elo 1834 · #22	🤝 DRAW tight call	Paraguay 44% ⚠️	02:00 UTC
United States Elo 1726 · #38@Türkiye Elo 1911 · #13	🏠 Türkiye 72%	Türkiye 38%	02:00 UTC
France Elo 2063 · #3@Norway Elo 1914 · #11	🛫 France 68%	France 53%	19:00 UTC
Iraq Elo 1607 · #63@Senegal Elo 1860 · #21	🏠 Senegal 78%	Senegal 68%	19:00 UTC

Saturday, June 27

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Saudi Arabia Elo 1576 · #69@Cape Verde Elo 1578 · #68	🤝 DRAW tight call	Cape Verde 41% ⚠️	00:00 UTC
Spain Elo 2157 · #1@Uruguay Elo 1892 · #16	🛫 Spain 79%	Spain 59%	00:00 UTC
Iran Elo 1772 · #31@Egypt Elo 1696 · #48	🤝 DRAW tight call	Egypt 58% ⚠️	03:00 UTC
Belgium Elo 1894 · #15@New Zealand Elo 1562 · #72	🛫 Belgium 80%	Belgium 76%	03:00 UTC
Ghana Elo 1510 · #81@Croatia Elo 1912 · #12	🏠 Croatia 80%	Croatia 60%	21:00 UTC
England Elo 2024 · #4@Panama Elo 1730 · #37	🛫 England 80%	England 75%	21:00 UTC
Portugal Elo 1989 · #6@Colombia Elo 1982 · #7	🤝 DRAW tight call	Portugal 46% ⚠️	23:30 UTC
Uzbekistan Elo 1714 · #41@Congo DR Elo 1652 · #55	🤝 DRAW tight call	Congo DR 41% ⚠️	23:30 UTC

Sunday, June 28

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Austria Elo 1830 · #23@Algeria Elo 1772 · #30	🤝 DRAW tight call	Austria 44% ⚠️	02:00 UTC
Argentina Elo 2115 · #2@Jordan Elo 1680 · #52	🛫 Argentina 80%	Argentina 82%	02:00 UTC
Group B 2nd Place@Group A 2nd Place	awaiting teams	—	19:00 UTC

Monday, June 29

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Group F 2nd Place@Group C Winner	awaiting teams	—	17:00 UTC
Third Place Group A/B/C/D/F@Group E Winner	awaiting teams	—	20:30 UTC

Tuesday, June 30

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Group C 2nd Place@Group F Winner	awaiting teams	—	01:00 UTC
Group I 2nd Place@Group E 2nd Place	awaiting teams	—	17:00 UTC
Third Place Group C/D/F/G/H@Group I Winner	awaiting teams	—	21:00 UTC

Wednesday, July 01

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Third Place Group C/E/F/H/I@Group A Winner	awaiting teams	—	01:00 UTC
Third Place Group E/H/I/J/K@Group L Winner	awaiting teams	—	16:00 UTC
Third Place Group A/E/H/I/J@Group G Winner	awaiting teams	—	20:00 UTC

Thursday, July 02

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Third Place Group B/E/F/I/J@Group D Winner	awaiting teams	—	00:00 UTC
Group J 2nd Place@Group H Winner	awaiting teams	—	19:00 UTC
Group L 2nd Place@Group K 2nd Place	awaiting teams	—	23:00 UTC

Friday, July 03

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Third Place Group E/F/G/I/J@Group B Winner	awaiting teams	—	03:00 UTC
Group G 2nd Place@Group D 2nd Place	awaiting teams	—	18:00 UTC
Group H 2nd Place@Group J Winner	awaiting teams	—	22:00 UTC

Saturday, July 04

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Third Place Group D/E/I/J/L@Group K Winner	awaiting teams	—	01:30 UTC
Round of 32 3 Winner@Round of 32 1 Winner	awaiting teams	—	17:00 UTC
Round of 32 5 Winner@Round of 32 2 Winner	awaiting teams	—	21:00 UTC

Sunday, July 05

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Round of 32 6 Winner@Round of 32 4 Winner	awaiting teams	—	20:00 UTC

Monday, July 06

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Round of 32 8 Winner@Round of 32 7 Winner	awaiting teams	—	00:00 UTC
Round of 32 12 Winner@Round of 32 11 Winner	awaiting teams	—	19:00 UTC

Tuesday, July 07

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Round of 32 10 Winner@Round of 32 9 Winner	awaiting teams	—	00:00 UTC
Round of 32 16 Winner@Round of 32 14 Winner	awaiting teams	—	16:00 UTC
Round of 32 15 Winner@Round of 32 13 Winner	awaiting teams	—	20:00 UTC

Thursday, July 09

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Round of 16 2 Winner@Round of 16 1 Winner	awaiting teams	—	20:00 UTC

Friday, July 10

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Round of 16 6 Winner@Round of 16 5 Winner	awaiting teams	—	19:00 UTC

Saturday, July 11

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Round of 16 4 Winner@Round of 16 3 Winner	awaiting teams	—	21:00 UTC

Sunday, July 12

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Round of 16 8 Winner@Round of 16 7 Winner	awaiting teams	—	01:00 UTC

Tuesday, July 14

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Quarterfinal 2 Winner@Quarterfinal 1 Winner	awaiting teams	—	19:00 UTC

Wednesday, July 15

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Quarterfinal 4 Winner@Quarterfinal 3 Winner	awaiting teams	—	19:00 UTC

Saturday, July 18

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Semifinal 2 Loser@Semifinal 1 Loser	awaiting teams	—	21:00 UTC

Sunday, July 19

Match (away @ home)	Loli · Elo model	Sharp market	Result
Semifinal 2 Winner@Semifinal 1 Winner	awaiting teams	—	19:00 UTC

🎟️ Progol quiniela ticket

Loli also plays Mexico's Progol pool — the sections below are her official ticket picks for this week's concursos (one of her offerings; the full slate above covers every World Cup game).

📊 The honest record

Since launch (June 2026): accruing — first World Cup concursos grade when official results publish (~June 17).

All-time record (we publish everything, including this)

31.3% on 905 graded 3-way picks across 42 tickets since April 2026 — random baseline on 1/X/2 is ≈33.3%. The engine behind today's picks (national-team Elo anchor) shipped June 5, 2026; the lifetime number includes every earlier, weaker era. That's exactly why the "since launch" series above is the one to watch — it grades itself nightly, automatically, from official results.

🎯 Polymarket World Cup positions

Ayase Ueda: 1+ goals → YES (57% conf) BET_PLACED · 2026-06-14
Norway to win the second half? → YES (56% conf) LEARNING_BET · 2026-06-21

34 World Cup markets evaluated · only 2 passed the discipline gates (+edge required) — the skips are the strategy.