⚽ Loli predicts the 2026 World Cup

Predicciones autónomas de IA · todos los partidos del Mundial · Quiniela Progol

Ticket generated 2026-06-15 16:47 UTC (4.9h ago) · Challenges: Fullweek 2337 / Midweek 800 · data.json

30/30

picks from live engine

…

record since launch (Jun 2026)

72/104

WC games predicted

~Jun 17

first concursos self-grade

💰 Real money on the table

Loli doesn't just predict — her betting brain risks actual money on the World Cup, but ONLY where it finds a mispricing it has earned the right to trust. Most games it skips on purpose. Every live position, win or lose:

Ayase Ueda: 1+ goals → YES conviction bet · model 57% · 2026-06-14
Norway to win the second half? → YES learning bet · model 56% · 2026-06-21
Gregor Kobel: 2+ saves → YES learning bet · model 64% · 2026-06-19

57 WC markets evaluated · only 3 cleared the edge gates. The skips are the strategy — it never bets a market it can't beat.

🌍 Every World Cup game

Track record (every pick graded automatically from official results): Loli's published pick: 4/14 (29%) · sharp market: 0/2 (0%) · raw Elo model: 4/14 (29%). Her published pick blends her model with the market — the market carries the weight on chaotic group games. ☠️ = a dangerous contrarian call where her model defies the sharp market (high-risk — the market is usually right). 💰 = Fantasy put real money on a market we can confirm belongs to that game. Player-prop bets (which name a player, not a team) cannot be pinned to a row — they are listed by name in the real-money section above. Every bet is shown, win or lose.

72 of 104 fixtures predicted (knockout slots fill in as teams qualify). Each pick is a market-weighted blend of Loli's national-team Elo and the live Polymarket price; close calls show DRAW.

Thursday, June 11

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
South Africa Elo 1511 · #80@Mexico Elo 1881 · #18	🏠 Mexico 80%	—	2–0 ✓

Friday, June 12

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Czechia Elo 1712 · #42@South Korea Elo 1786 · #26	🤝 DRAW tight call	—	2–1 ✗
Bosnia-Herzegovina Elo 1595 · #65@Canada Elo 1788 · #25	🏠 Canada 73%	—	1–1 ✗

Saturday, June 13

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Paraguay Elo 1834 · #22@United States Elo 1726 · #38	🛫 Paraguay 64%	—	4–1 ✗
Switzerland Elo 1891 · #17@Qatar Elo 1421 · #96	🛫 Switzerland 80%	—	1–1 ✗
Morocco Elo 1827 · #24@Brazil Elo 1991 · #5	🏠 Brazil 70%	—	1–1 ✗

Sunday, June 14

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Scotland Elo 1782 · #27@Haiti Elo 1548 · #73	🛫 Scotland 76%	—	0–1 ✓
Türkiye Elo 1911 · #13@Australia Elo 1777 · #29	🛫 Türkiye 66%	—	2–0 ✗
Curaçao Elo 1434 · #91@Germany Elo 1932 · #10	🏠 Germany 80%	—	7–1 ✓
Japan Elo 1906 · #14@Netherlands Elo 1948 · #8	🤝 DRAW tight call	—	2–2 ✓
Ecuador Elo 1938 · #9@Ivory Coast Elo 1695 · #49	🛫 Ecuador 77%	—	1–0 ✗

Monday, June 15

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Tunisia Elo 1628 · #58@Sweden Elo 1712 · #43	🤝 DRAW tight call	—	5–1 ✗
Cape Verde Elo 1578 · #68@Spain Elo 2157 · #1	🏠 Spain 80%	—	0–0 ✗
Egypt Elo 1696 · #48@Belgium Elo 1894 · #15	🏠 Belgium 73%	—	1–1 ✗
Uruguay Elo 1892 · #16@Saudi Arabia Elo 1576 · #69	🛫 Uruguay 63%	Uruguay 65%	22:00 UTC

Tuesday, June 16

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
New Zealand Elo 1562 · #72@Iran Elo 1772 · #31	🏠 Iran 74%	Draw 60%	01:00 UTC
Senegal Elo 1860 · #21@France Elo 2063 · #3	🏠 France 62%	France 66%	19:00 UTC
Norway Elo 1914 · #11@Iraq Elo 1607 · #63	🛫 Norway 74%	Norway 82%	22:00 UTC

Wednesday, June 17

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Algeria Elo 1772 · #30@Argentina Elo 2115 · #2	🏠 Argentina 66%	Argentina 70%	01:00 UTC
Jordan Elo 1680 · #52@Austria Elo 1830 · #23	🏠 Austria 65%	Austria 72%	04:00 UTC
Congo DR Elo 1652 · #55@Portugal Elo 1989 · #6	🏠 Portugal 70%	Portugal 76%	17:00 UTC
Croatia Elo 1912 · #12@England Elo 2024 · #4	🏠 England 53%	England 56%	20:00 UTC
Panama Elo 1730 · #37@Ghana Elo 1510 · #81	🛫 Panama 37% ☠️	Ghana 44%	23:00 UTC

Thursday, June 18

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Colombia Elo 1982 · #7@Uzbekistan Elo 1714 · #41	🛫 Colombia 67%	Colombia 71%	02:00 UTC
South Africa Elo 1511 · #80@Czechia Elo 1712 · #42	🏠 Czechia 54%	Czechia 54%	16:00 UTC
Bosnia-Herzegovina Elo 1595 · #65@Switzerland Elo 1891 · #17	🏠 Switzerland 61%	Switzerland 62%	19:00 UTC
Qatar Elo 1421 · #96@Canada Elo 1788 · #25	🏠 Canada 70%	Canada 76%	22:00 UTC

Friday, June 19

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
South Korea Elo 1786 · #26@Mexico Elo 1881 · #18	🏠 Mexico 47%	Mexico 48%	01:00 UTC
Australia Elo 1777 · #29@United States Elo 1726 · #38	🏠 United States 51%	United States 61%	19:00 UTC
Morocco Elo 1827 · #24@Scotland Elo 1782 · #27	🛫 Morocco 51%	Morocco 56%	22:00 UTC

Saturday, June 20

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Haiti Elo 1548 · #73@Brazil Elo 1991 · #5	🏠 Brazil 78%	Brazil 88%	00:30 UTC
Paraguay Elo 1834 · #22@Türkiye Elo 1911 · #13	🏠 Türkiye 46%	Türkiye 47%	03:00 UTC
Sweden Elo 1712 · #43@Netherlands Elo 1948 · #8	🏠 Netherlands 57%	Netherlands 57%	17:00 UTC
Ivory Coast Elo 1695 · #49@Germany Elo 1932 · #10	🏠 Germany 61%	Germany 63%	20:00 UTC

Sunday, June 21

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Curaçao Elo 1434 · #91@Ecuador Elo 1938 · #9	🏠 Ecuador 78%	Ecuador 88%	00:00 UTC
Japan Elo 1906 · #14@Tunisia Elo 1628 · #58	🛫 Japan 63%	Japan 65%	04:00 UTC
Saudi Arabia Elo 1576 · #69@Spain Elo 2157 · #1	🏠 Spain 78%	Spain 89%	16:00 UTC
Iran Elo 1772 · #31@Belgium Elo 1894 · #15	🏠 Belgium 68%	Belgium 78%	19:00 UTC
Cape Verde Elo 1578 · #68@Uruguay Elo 1892 · #16	🏠 Uruguay 64%	Uruguay 67%	22:00 UTC

Monday, June 22

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Egypt Elo 1696 · #48@New Zealand Elo 1562 · #72	🛫 Egypt 55%	Egypt 58%	01:00 UTC
Austria Elo 1830 · #23@Argentina Elo 2115 · #2	🏠 Argentina 61%	Argentina 62%	17:00 UTC
Iraq Elo 1607 · #63@France Elo 2063 · #3	🏠 France 78%	France 88%	21:00 UTC

Tuesday, June 23

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Senegal Elo 1860 · #21@Norway Elo 1914 · #11	🏠 Norway 44%	Norway 45%	00:00 UTC
Algeria Elo 1772 · #30@Jordan Elo 1680 · #52	🛫 Algeria 59%	Algeria 66%	03:00 UTC
Uzbekistan Elo 1714 · #41@Portugal Elo 1989 · #6	🏠 Portugal 72%	Portugal 79%	17:00 UTC
Ghana Elo 1510 · #81@England Elo 2024 · #4	🏠 England 69%	England 74%	20:00 UTC
Croatia Elo 1912 · #12@Panama Elo 1730 · #37	🛫 Croatia 59%	Croatia 62%	23:00 UTC

Wednesday, June 24

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Congo DR Elo 1652 · #55@Colombia Elo 1982 · #7	🏠 Colombia 64%	Colombia 67%	02:00 UTC
Qatar Elo 1421 · #96@Bosnia-Herzegovina Elo 1595 · #65	🏠 Bosnia-Herzegovina 59%	Bosnia-Herzegovina 62%	19:00 UTC
Canada Elo 1788 · #25@Switzerland Elo 1891 · #17	🏠 Switzerland 45%	Switzerland 44%	19:00 UTC
Haiti Elo 1548 · #73@Morocco Elo 1827 · #24	🏠 Morocco 69%	Morocco 74%	22:00 UTC
Brazil Elo 1991 · #5@Scotland Elo 1782 · #27	🛫 Brazil 64%	Brazil 68%	22:00 UTC

Thursday, June 25

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Mexico Elo 1881 · #18@Czechia Elo 1712 · #42	🛫 Mexico 53%	Mexico 54%	01:00 UTC
South Korea Elo 1786 · #26@South Africa Elo 1511 · #80	🛫 South Korea 60%	South Korea 61%	01:00 UTC
Ivory Coast Elo 1695 · #49@Curaçao Elo 1434 · #91	🛫 Ivory Coast 75%	Ivory Coast 85%	20:00 UTC
Germany Elo 1932 · #10@Ecuador Elo 1938 · #9	🛫 Germany 50%	Germany 57%	20:00 UTC
Sweden Elo 1712 · #43@Japan Elo 1906 · #14	🏠 Japan 48%	Japan 45%	23:00 UTC
Netherlands Elo 1948 · #8@Tunisia Elo 1628 · #58	🛫 Netherlands 68%	Netherlands 73%	23:00 UTC

Friday, June 26

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Australia Elo 1777 · #29@Paraguay Elo 1834 · #22	🏠 Paraguay 43%	Paraguay 44%	02:00 UTC
United States Elo 1726 · #38@Türkiye Elo 1911 · #13	🏠 Türkiye 40% ☠️	United States 42%	02:00 UTC
France Elo 2063 · #3@Norway Elo 1914 · #11	🛫 France 52%	France 53%	19:00 UTC
Iraq Elo 1607 · #63@Senegal Elo 1860 · #21	🏠 Senegal 64%	Senegal 68%	19:00 UTC

Saturday, June 27

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Saudi Arabia Elo 1576 · #69@Cape Verde Elo 1578 · #68	🏠 Cape Verde 38%	Cape Verde 39%	00:00 UTC
Spain Elo 2157 · #1@Uruguay Elo 1892 · #16	🛫 Spain 61%	Spain 63%	00:00 UTC
Iran Elo 1772 · #31@Egypt Elo 1696 · #48	🏠 Egypt 49%	Egypt 59%	03:00 UTC
Belgium Elo 1894 · #15@New Zealand Elo 1562 · #72	🛫 Belgium 70%	Belgium 75%	03:00 UTC
Ghana Elo 1510 · #81@Croatia Elo 1912 · #12	🏠 Croatia 59%	Croatia 59%	21:00 UTC
England Elo 2024 · #4@Panama Elo 1730 · #37	🛫 England 70%	England 76%	21:00 UTC
Portugal Elo 1989 · #6@Colombia Elo 1982 · #7	🛫 Portugal 44%	Portugal 47%	23:30 UTC
Uzbekistan Elo 1714 · #41@Congo DR Elo 1652 · #55	🏠 Congo DR 37%	Congo DR 40%	23:30 UTC

Sunday, June 28

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Austria Elo 1830 · #23@Algeria Elo 1772 · #30	🛫 Austria 44%	Austria 44%	02:00 UTC
Argentina Elo 2115 · #2@Jordan Elo 1680 · #52	🛫 Argentina 74%	Argentina 82%	02:00 UTC
Group B 2nd Place@Group A 2nd Place	awaiting teams	—	19:00 UTC

Monday, June 29

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Group F 2nd Place@Group C Winner	awaiting teams	—	17:00 UTC
Third Place Group A/B/C/D/F@Group E Winner	awaiting teams	—	20:30 UTC

Tuesday, June 30

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Group C 2nd Place@Group F Winner	awaiting teams	—	01:00 UTC
Group I 2nd Place@Group E 2nd Place	awaiting teams	—	17:00 UTC
Third Place Group C/D/F/G/H@Group I Winner	awaiting teams	—	21:00 UTC

Wednesday, July 01

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Third Place Group C/E/F/H/I@Group A Winner	awaiting teams	—	01:00 UTC
Third Place Group E/H/I/J/K@Group L Winner	awaiting teams	—	16:00 UTC
Third Place Group A/E/H/I/J@Group G Winner	awaiting teams	—	20:00 UTC

Thursday, July 02

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Third Place Group B/E/F/I/J@Group D Winner	awaiting teams	—	00:00 UTC
Group J 2nd Place@Group H Winner	awaiting teams	—	19:00 UTC
Group L 2nd Place@Group K 2nd Place	awaiting teams	—	23:00 UTC

Friday, July 03

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Third Place Group E/F/G/I/J@Group B Winner	awaiting teams	—	03:00 UTC
Group G 2nd Place@Group D 2nd Place	awaiting teams	—	18:00 UTC
Group H 2nd Place@Group J Winner	awaiting teams	—	22:00 UTC

Saturday, July 04

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Third Place Group D/E/I/J/L@Group K Winner	awaiting teams	—	01:30 UTC
Round of 32 3 Winner@Round of 32 1 Winner	awaiting teams	—	17:00 UTC
Round of 32 5 Winner@Round of 32 2 Winner	awaiting teams	—	21:00 UTC

Sunday, July 05

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Round of 32 6 Winner@Round of 32 4 Winner	awaiting teams	—	20:00 UTC

Monday, July 06

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Round of 32 8 Winner@Round of 32 7 Winner	awaiting teams	—	00:00 UTC
Round of 32 12 Winner@Round of 32 11 Winner	awaiting teams	—	19:00 UTC

Tuesday, July 07

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Round of 32 10 Winner@Round of 32 9 Winner	awaiting teams	—	00:00 UTC
Round of 32 16 Winner@Round of 32 14 Winner	awaiting teams	—	16:00 UTC
Round of 32 15 Winner@Round of 32 13 Winner	awaiting teams	—	20:00 UTC

Thursday, July 09

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Round of 16 2 Winner@Round of 16 1 Winner	awaiting teams	—	20:00 UTC

Friday, July 10

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Round of 16 6 Winner@Round of 16 5 Winner	awaiting teams	—	19:00 UTC

Saturday, July 11

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Round of 16 4 Winner@Round of 16 3 Winner	awaiting teams	—	21:00 UTC

Sunday, July 12

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Round of 16 8 Winner@Round of 16 7 Winner	awaiting teams	—	01:00 UTC

Tuesday, July 14

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Quarterfinal 2 Winner@Quarterfinal 1 Winner	awaiting teams	—	19:00 UTC

Wednesday, July 15

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Quarterfinal 4 Winner@Quarterfinal 3 Winner	awaiting teams	—	19:00 UTC

Saturday, July 18

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Semifinal 2 Loser@Semifinal 1 Loser	awaiting teams	—	21:00 UTC

Sunday, July 19

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Sharp market	Result
Semifinal 2 Winner@Semifinal 1 Winner	awaiting teams	—	19:00 UTC

🎟️ Progol quiniela ticket

Loli plays Mexico's Progol pool — her official ticket picks for this week's concursos, in the same layout as the World Cup slate. (One of her offerings; the World Cup tab covers every tournament game.)

Midweek 800 · World Cup week

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Confidence	Source
REP. COREA Elo 1786 · #26 @ MEXICO Elo 1881 · #18	🤝 DRAW	40%	LIVE ENGINE
SENEGAL Elo 1860 · #21 @ FRANCIA Elo 2063 · #3	🏠 FRANCIA	52%	LIVE ENGINE
CROACIA Elo 1912 · #12 @ INGLATERRA Elo 2024 · #4	🏠 INGLATERRA	60%	LIVE ENGINE
PANAMA Elo 1730 · #37 @ GHANA Elo 1510 · #81	🛫 PANAMA	73%	LIVE ENGINE
SUDAFRICA Elo 1511 · #80 @ CHEQUIA Elo 1712 · #42	🏠 CHEQUIA	78%	LIVE ENGINE
BOSNIA Elo 1595 · #65 @ SUIZA Elo 1891 · #17	🏠 SUIZA	78%	LIVE ENGINE
AUSTRALIA Elo 1777 · #29 @ E.U.A. Elo 1726 · #38	🤝 DRAW	38%	LIVE ENGINE
MARRUECOS Elo 1827 · #24 @ ESCOCIA Elo 1782 · #27	🤝 DRAW	38%	LIVE ENGINE
PARAGUAY Elo 1834 · #22 @ TURQUIA Elo 1911 · #13	🤝 DRAW	34%	LIVE ENGINE

Fullweek 2337 · Main

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Confidence	Source
REP. COREA Elo 1786 · #26 @ MEXICO Elo 1881 · #18	🤝 DRAW	40%	LIVE ENGINE
SUDAFRICA Elo 1511 · #80 @ CHEQUIA Elo 1712 · #42	🏠 CHEQUIA	71%	LIVE ENGINE
BOSNIA Elo 1595 · #65 @ SUIZA Elo 1891 · #17	🏠 SUIZA	84%	LIVE ENGINE
AUSTRALIA Elo 1777 · #29 @ E.U.A. Elo 1726 · #38	🤝 DRAW	40%	LIVE ENGINE
MARRUECOS Elo 1827 · #24 @ ESCOCIA Elo 1782 · #27	🤝 DRAW	40%	LIVE ENGINE
PARAGUAY Elo 1834 · #22 @ TURQUIA Elo 1911 · #13	🤝 DRAW	40%	LIVE ENGINE
SUECIA Elo 1712 · #43 @ PAISES BAJO Elo 1948 · #8	🏠 PAISES BAJO	75%	LIVE ENGINE
COSTA MARF Elo 1695 · #49 @ ALEMANIA Elo 1932 · #10	🏠 ALEMANIA	52%	LIVE ENGINE
JAPON Elo 1906 · #14 @ TUNEZ Elo 1628 · #58	🛫 JAPON	72%	LIVE ENGINE
EGIPTO Elo 1696 · #48 @ NVA ZELANDA Elo 1562 · #72	🛫 EGIPTO	52%	LIVE ENGINE
AUSTRIA Elo 1830 · #23 @ ARGENTINA Elo 2115 · #2	🏠 ARGENTINA	73%	LIVE ENGINE
SENEGAL Elo 1860 · #21 @ NORUEGA Elo 1914 · #11	🤝 DRAW	40%	LIVE ENGINE
ARGELIA Elo 1772 · #30 @ JORDANIA	🛫 ARGELIA	66%	LIVE ENGINE
CROACIA Elo 1912 · #12 @ PANAMA Elo 1730 · #37	🛫 CROACIA	52%	LIVE ENGINE

Fullweek 2337 · Revancha

Match (away @ home)	Loli's pick	Confidence	Source
REP. COREA Elo 1786 · #26 @ MEXICO Elo 1881 · #18	🤝 DRAW	34%	LIVE ENGINE
MARRUECOS Elo 1827 · #24 @ ESCOCIA Elo 1782 · #27	🤝 DRAW	38%	LIVE ENGINE
PARAGUAY Elo 1834 · #22 @ TURQUIA Elo 1911 · #13	🤝 DRAW	34%	LIVE ENGINE
SUECIA Elo 1712 · #43 @ PAISES BAJO Elo 1948 · #8	🏠 PAISES BAJO	77%	LIVE ENGINE
CABO VERDE Elo 1578 · #68 @ URUGUAY Elo 1892 · #16	🏠 URUGUAY	76%	LIVE ENGINE
SENEGAL Elo 1860 · #21 @ NORUEGA Elo 1914 · #11	🤝 DRAW	36%	LIVE ENGINE
REP. CONGO @ COLOMBIA Elo 1982 · #7	🏠 COLOMBIA	80%	LIVE ENGINE

📊 The honest record

Since launch (June 2026): accruing — first World Cup concursos grade when official results publish (~June 17).

All-time record (we publish everything, including this)

31.3% on 905 graded 3-way picks across 46 tickets since April 2026 — random baseline on 1/X/2 is ≈33.3%. The engine behind today's picks (national-team Elo anchor) shipped June 5, 2026; the lifetime number includes every earlier, weaker era. That's exactly why the "since launch" series above is the one to watch — it grades itself nightly, automatically, from official results.